By ខែ្មរវឌ្ឍនកម្ម
www.khmerwathanak.blogspot.com
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Cambodian Main Opposition Leader Sam Rainsey |
As a threat of Vietnam neocolonization and deep meddling into Cambodian politics via its proxy power (CPP) has become more evidently, Sam Rainsey-- a true Khmer leader-- has desperately called for China to exert its political power to end the crisis in Cambodia. He has regarded China as a Cambodian ally, and he has openly supported China's policy over South China Sea dispute with Vietnam and other countries while Hun Sen publicly stays neutral on this issue but secretly supported Vietnam which has covertly helped him to maintain power in Cambodia.
What Sam Rainsey has pleaded for help from China, echoes King Ang Duong's desperate appeal to France and other European powers to help Khmer from imminent threat of its two powerful neighbors--Vietnam and Thailand in the past. Almost 200 years later, today Cambodia has faced the same threat from the same enemies though Thailand's influence had totally wiped out since the French colonial time, instead Vietnam's influence has been rapidly growing especially from 1979 when it sent troops to invade Cambodia and installed its puppet regime to rule the country until today.
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Chinese President Xing Jiping |
Historically, Thailand patronage system in Cambodia over a century had encountered Vietnam's threat effectively. Khmer kings usually used Thailand's influence against Vietnam or vice versa. Now since Thailand is no longer a power player in Cambodia, Khmer leaders should seek a counter balance of power to thwart the Vietnamese neocolonizer. Now China is more likely the best match against the Vietnamese growing power over Indochina and Southeast Asia. This time is probably the final conquest of Hanoi if Khmer leaders can't find helpers on time, for Vietnam has its effective collaborator, Hun Sen, to coordinate its modus operandi of colonization.
What Sam Rainsey has called for help from China is a legitimate appeal since Cambodia is facing an imminent threat on her independence and sovereignty. Currently, Cambodia looks as if a drowned person, she must struggle to catch whatever that can lift her from drowning. Albeit Sam Rainsey has different political ideology from Chinese leaders, the main point is when the two countries share a common interest. President Franklin Roosevelt made an alliance with Stalin to defeat Hitler in WWII when he saw Hitler more dangerous than Stalin. Now Sam Rainsey may seek alliance with China, for it looks less dangerous than Vietnam.
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Vietnamese President Truong Tan Sang |
Nevertheless, a lot of works and efforts must be done since it is very unusual when a political party in any country seeks help from outside powers, but it's usually best fit during war time. Currently, even the U.S. or E.U. never publicly declare their direct support for CNRP, but they openly support democracy, human rights, and a rule of law in Cambodia. During war time 1970-90, China openly declared its support for the Khmer Rouge and Sihanouk leadership. Now a stake is high for China to veer from Hun Sen regime though it perceived that Hun Sen might be not its faithful friend; Beijing has to balance its interest: to stay with its current course with Hun Sen or to gradually shift its policy in order to find a faithful and stable friendship with Cambodia.
Hun Sen's superficial alliance with China has politically benefited Vietnam too, for it can manipulate international community that Hun Sen is independent and free from Hanoi's pressure to exercise his own foreign policy, therefore Vietnam has nothing to do with what has been going on in Cambodia. Most foreign media as well as some diplomats regarded Hun Sen as if China's stooge rather than Hanoi's when he had brazenly deleted a South China Sea dispute issue from ASEAN's summit agenda in 2012 to appease China. Although Philippines strongly criticized Hun Sen's action, Vietnam--a fierce rival with China--refrained from criticizing Hun Sen publicly because it had struck a deal with Hun Sen behind a scene. Yet, Hun Sen kept China happy for a while when there is no guarantee in the future.